I am running into way too many people who are slacking off and just assuming that Obama is going to win. Please don't be fooled by the recent bump in the polls. I know it will anger most here to hear the truth but the simple truth is all the financial mess helped Obama tremendously and I fear that the effect will wear off soon.
At this point in 2004 Kerry lead in the polls by about the same margin that Obama leads now (and we know what happened on Election Day) [October 7, 2004 Poll inside]
Here is where Kerry was at this same point in 2004 (we need to keep up the fight and keep on working HARD):
(October 7, 2004) AP Poll: Kerry Holds Small Lead Over Bush (50% to 46%)
Fox/AP ^
Posted on Saturday, October 04, 2008 2:11:22 PM by Chet 99
WASHINGTON -- Sen. John Kerry (search) has taken a slim lead over President Bush (search), according to an Associated Press poll that shows the president's support tumbling on personal qualities, the war in Iraq (search) and the commander in chief's bedrock campaign issue -- national security.
Fewer voters than a month ago believe Bush is the best man to protect the country and fight the Iraq war.
The AP-Ipsos Public Affairs poll (search), completed on the eve of the second presidential debate, showed a reversal from early September, when the Republican incumbent had the momentum and a minuscule lead. With bloodshed increasing in Iraq, Kerry sharpened his attacks, and Bush stumbled in their initial debate.
Among 944 likely voters, the Kerry-Edwards ticket led Bush-Cheney 50 percent to 46 percent. The Oct. 4-6 survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
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